Tuesday, March 24, 2020

Instant Revisionism Meets Convenient Amnesia as Blame Game Begins


A slow and bumbling bureaucracy can kill you: that's one immediate takeaway from this wire story that jumps out at me. And hubris doesn't help -- which is something we've known since ancient Greeks themed their tragedies around the idea. The President also comes in for some criticism, in this arguably-slanted but still relevant retelling of an unfolding story, for allegedly sugarcoating the seriousness of the situation and putting a glibly optimistic spin on things, in his usual shoot-from-the-lip style.

But . . . . 

There's always a "but," or what would be the point of blogging?  

But the question remains, would Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders or any other Democrat have done a better job of dealing with an unprecedented situation under identical circumstances? I seriously doubt it.  

Let's remember, Biden and other Democrats were quick to jump on the President as a xenophobe and sinophobe when he clamped down on inbound flights from China, suggesting that they would have been even slower to respond, for fear of offending Chinese sensibilities -- something Trump actually seems to relish, which was a potential strength at a time when China wasn't just spreading a contagion but was covering-up the facts and deflecting blame for it.  "Republican Xenophobia Is Going to Make the Pandemic Much Worse," warned The Nation, reflecting the left's conventional wisdom at the time. It's thus impossible to argue that liberals would have put a lid on travel from China, or taken any other containment steps, with any more speed than Trump did.  

Would any one of the Democrat contenders have overruled CDC's fateful and flawed recommendation to not use the German test, which in retrospect seems to be where good old hubris (or bureaucratic inertia and bumbling, flip a coin) came back to haunt us? That claim, too, is dubious, if not laughable, given the deference all good "progressives" pay to bureaucratic expertise and efficacy.
Let's also remember what the press and political elite were obsessing about 24/7 for critical weeks when the outbreak was gaining early momentum -- impeachment. But you won't see that latter bit of context anywhere in the AP's account either.

Another takeaway for me (which is a topic I'll only touch on today) is that a competence gap seems to be plaguing America -- something CDC's botched response highlights in such starkness. I don't mean political competence, though that's often a problem too, but technical competence, especially on the government or bureaucratic side. The rather sad state of the once-great NASA may offer the best shorthand illustrate of what I'm pointing to here. NASA was once the best of the best: today it can't out a man in space unless he or she is riding there on a Russian rocket.

Our scientific and technical prowess just may not be what it's cracked up to be anymore; that's a troubling subtext to this that hasn't gotten enough attention, in my view. Germany had a viable and reliable diagnostic test available in relatively short order, but rather than use that test, our supposedly elite CDC chose a go-it-alone, we-can-do-better approach that badly backfired in an embarrassing fashion.

Was it foolish pride, or maybe cocky overconfidence, or perhaps bureaucratic territoriality that colored that fateful decision? Was that the President's call to make, or did he simply trust in what the overconfident technocrats told him, resulting in the misfire? I suppose that will all come out in the wash eventually. Right now the priority must be saving lives and "flattening the curve."

I'm sure, once the dust settles, that there will be "Blue Ribbon Commissions" organized to fully probe (but hopefully not further politize) how our US response stumbled from the starting gate. And such a review is certainly warranted (assuming it doesn't take seven years and cost $200 million to complete, which would just underscore the problem I'm touching on). And perhaps we'll emerge from all this with our confidence shaken, which wouldn't be the worst thing if it spurs us to address the competence gap and strive to regain the technological edge we long (but mistakenly) took for granted, thanks to this reminder that maintaining that edge really can be the difference between life and death.       


No comments: